Value Investing World

Thursday, January 3, 2013

US has been let down by its leadership – By Nouriel Roubini

Thanks to Matt for passing this along.

The deal reached in Washington on New Year’s day prevented the US economy from falling off the so-called fiscal cliff. However, given the dysfunctional nature of the American political system, it won’t be long before there is another crisis.

Two months, in fact. If no action is taken by March 1, $110bn of spending cuts will commence. At about the same time, the US will hit its statutory debt limit, known colloquially as the debt ceiling.

That is only the beginning. Later in 2013, and not before time, a bigger debate on medium-term fiscal consolidation will begin. This will lead to another dispute between Republicans, who want to shrink the size of the federal government, and Democrats, who want to maintain it but are unsure how to pay for it.

So expect a big fight about entitlements, and a series of little fights over tax reform: should the US introduce a value added tax? A flat tax? Higher (or lower) income taxes? A carbon tax? Should we close corporate tax loopholes to raise more revenue? It’ll soon get messy.

Posted by Joe at 1/03/2013
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Value Investing World is a blog dedicated to promoting the multidisciplinary approach to investing and development of – as Charlie Munger describes it – a latticework of mental models. Although largely focused on linking to investing and economic material it deems of interest, it will also post and link to material from other disciplines that it thinks worth reading or watching.

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Useful Links and Other Recommended Reading

  • 2007 and 2009 Interviews with Peter Bevelin
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  • Buffett FAQ
  • The Best of Charlie Munger: 1994-2011
  • Charlie Munger - The Art of Stock Picking
  • Charlie Munger - Academic Economics
  • Charlie Munger - The Psychology of Human Misjudgment
  • Charlie Munger - 2007 USC Law School Commencement Notes
  • Poor Charlie's Almanack
  • An Investing Principles Checklist from Poor Charlie's Almanack
  • Oaktree - Howard Marks Memos
  • EDGAR Company Filing Search
  • Nasdaq - Search Institutional and Manager Holdings
  • Stock Buyback Announcements
  • Insider Trading Activity
  • SEDI - Canada Insider Buying
  • Canada Insider Buying
  • Value Investors Club
  • 52 Week Low List
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  • The Great Courses Plus
  • Edge
  • Khan Academy
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  • OpenCourseWare
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  • The Gates Notes

My Favorite (and biased) Non-Investing Related Site

  • Diane Meets World

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  • Key Checklist Items
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  • Stoicism quotes, thoughts, and readings
  • Charlie Munger on uncommon sense
  • Interview with Peter Bevelin, author of Seeking Wisdom - from Darwin to Munger
  • Second Interview with Peter Bevelin
  • Focusing on expected returns instead of intrinsic value…
  • Filters
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  • Dr. Peter Drucker: FEEDBACK: KEY TO CONTINUOUS LEARNING
  • Quotes on ‘the biggest mistake investors make’.
  • Tom Russo quote
  • Bill Gates quote from Charlie Rose interview (or, how the world's best companies are built by fanatics)
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  • Hussman Weekly Market Comment: Tending Seeds - Reacting, Responding, Planting, and Watering
  • What it takes to be great
  • Following the Path to Mastery with Robert Greene
  • THE CHECKLIST - by Atul Gawande
  • Carl Sagan - Pale Blue Dot
  • The Most Astounding Fact About the Universe

Charlie Munger

  • Poor Charlie's Almanack
  • The Best of Charlie Munger: 1994-2011
  • VIDEO: Charlie Munger - USC Law School Commencement - May 13, 2007
  • NOTES: Charlie Munger - USC Law School Commencement - May 13, 2007
  • Charlie Munger's "The Psychology of Human Misjudgment"

Warren Buffett

  • Warren Buffett's Letters to Berkshire Shareholders
  • Buffett inflation file
  • BUFFETT FAQ

Ben Franklin

  • Ben Franklin's 13 Virtues
  • Ben Franklin - 3 Essays - The Ephemera; The Whistle; Franklin and the Gout

Benjamin Graham

  • The Papers of Benjamin Graham (PDF)
  • The Rediscovered Benjamin Graham: Selected Writings of the Wall Street Legend (PDF)
  • Ben Graham interview (1955)
  • Securities in an Insecure World (1963 Speech)

Peter Bevelin

  • 2007 and 2009 interviews with Peter Bevelin
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  • PDF of Peter Bevelin interviews (2007 and 2009 with Value Investing World; 2016 with Farnam Street)

Howard Marks

  • Howard Marks memos
  • Compilation: Howard Marks Memos from 1990 - July 2011
  • Book: The Most Important Thing
  • Book: Mastering the Market Cycle

Seth Klarman

  • Seth Klarman Letters: 1995 - mid 2001
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  • Seth Klarman - October 2007 Remarks at MIT

Michael Mauboussin

  • Measuring the Moat
  • Competitive Advantage Period "CAP"
  • The Base Rate Book
  • Reflections on the Ten Attributes of Great Investors
  • Who Is On the Other Side?
  • What Does a Price-Earnings Multiple Mean?
  • What Does an EV/EBITDA Multiple Mean?
  • Capital Allocation
  • Capital Allocation Outside the U.S.
  • Operating Leverage

Diversification

  • Warren Buffett on Diversification - 1966
  • Warren Buffett on Diversification (1998)
  • Phil Fisher on diversification
  • More from Phil Fisher on diversification
  • Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger on portfolio concentration, and having the right temperament for it
  • Seth Klarman on position sizing (bottom paragraph)
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  • Generalizing the Kelly Criterion
  • A quick diversification thought...
  • A few comments on the Berkshire Hathaway letter to shareholders

Checklists

  • Charlie and Checklists
  • An Investing Principles Checklist from Poor Charlie
  • Key Checklist Items

Expert Performance / Self-Improvement

  • Bill Gates quote from Charlie Rose interview (or, how the world's best companies are built by fanatics)
  • Dr. Peter Drucker: FEEDBACK: KEY TO CONTINUOUS LEARNING
  • What it takes to be great

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