Showing posts with label Jeremy Grantham. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jeremy Grantham. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 18, 2020

Links

I've been a bit behind on other reading as I've been trying to both take advantage of current volatility as well as make sure clients at Sorfis Investments have portfolios that I think will be well situated for the next 5-10 years. There is plenty of uncertainty and risk right now—both as it relates to one's physical and financial health—but there are also undervalued businesses out there with good balance sheets that will be more valuable 5, 10, and 20 years from now. 

Note: This is my opinion and not a recommendation to buy or sell a security. Please do your own research before making an investment decision.

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"It was psychologically painful in 1999 to give up making money on the way up and to expose yourself to the career risk that comes with looking like an old fuddy duddy. Similarly today, it is both painful and career risky to part with your increasingly beloved cash, particularly since cash has been so hard to raise in this market of unprecedented illiquidity. As this crisis climaxes, formerly reasonable people will start to predict the end of the world, armed with plenty of terrifying and accurate data that will serve to reinforce the wisdom of your caution. Every decline will enhance the beauty of cash until, as some of us experienced in 1974, ‘terminal paralysis’ sets in. Those who were over invested will be catatonic and just sit and pray. Those few who look brilliant, oozing cash, will not want to easily give up their brilliance. So almost everyone is watching and waiting with their inertia beginning to set like concrete. Typically, those with a lot of cash will miss a very large chunk of the market recovery. There is only one cure for terminal paralysis: you absolutely must have a battle plan for reinvestment and stick to it." --Jeremy Grantham, March 2009 ("Reinvesting When Terrified")

Two Things We Know With High Confidence - by Morgan Housel (LINK)

A Viral Market Meltdown III: Pricing or Value? Trading or Investing? - by Aswath Damodaran (LINK)

Why Are Markets So Volatile? It’s Not Just the Coronavirus. ($) (LINK)

Howard Marks says the market is ‘pricing in a bad scenario’ and there is value for investors (video) (LINK)

FPA Crescent Fund: First Quarter Preliminary Update (LINK)

Lux Capital memo on the Coronavirus (LINK)

How small businesses can cut expenses (LINK)

Bernanke and Yellen: the Federal Reserve must reduce long-term damage from coronavirus ($) (LINK)

The Surreal Weekend (LINK)

America’s Restaurants Will Need a Miracle - by Derek Thompson (LINK)

Amazon Prioritizes Medical Supplies, Household Staples From Merchants Amid Coronavirus ($) (LINK)

Detroit Car Makers to Temporarily Close U.S. Plants Over Virus Concerns ($) (LINK)

Costco Buys Logistics Firm From Sears Owner for $1 Billion ($) (LINK)

The U.K.’s Coronavirus ‘Herd Immunity’ Debacle - by Ed Yong (LINK)

The Patients Who Can’t Have Surgery Because of the Coronavirus - by Sarah Zhang (LINK)

Defining Information - by Ben Thompson (LINK)

Invest Like the Best Podcast: Dan Rasmussen – Investing Through a Crisis (LINK)

The Acquirers Podcast: Steady Hands: How the leaders of four SME businesses are weathering the Coronavirus storm (LINK)

a16z Podcast: Labs for Diagnostics: Then, Now, and Next (LINK)

Acquired Podcast: The Top 10 Acquisitions of All-Time (LINK)

The James Altucher Show (podcast): 560 - Critical Coronavirus Update: The BEST and The WORST Case Scenarios with Johns Hopkins Dr. Marty Makary (LINK)

Why Americans Are Dying from Despair - by Atul Gawande (LINK)

Tuesday, February 11, 2020

Links

For those that are going to the Fairfax Financial Annual Meeting in April and are looking to attend other events around the meeting, discount rates for the YYX Toronto Value Symposium are available

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What “Bullet-Proof Investing” Means to Me? - by Sanjay Bakshi (LINK)

Crisis Investing: How to Maximize Returns During Market Panics (LINK)

Winter 2020 issue of Graham & Doddsville (LINK)

The Flaws of "Subscription Fatigue", "SVOD Fatigue", and the "Streaming Wars" - by Matthew Ball (LINK)

Writing in a Business Context - by Jerry Neumann (LINK)

Some great notes from the book Capital Account: A Fund Manager Reports on a Turbulent Decade, 1993-2002 (LINK)
Related previous posts: 1) THE TENETS OF CAPITAL CYCLE ANALYSIS; 2) Ed Chancellor on the capital cycle...; 3) More from Ed Chancellor on focusing on industry supply...
Can We Have Prosperity Without Growth? (LINK)

Chemical Toxicity and the Baby Bust: Unexpected threats to human fertility and, hence, chemical companies - by Jeremy Grantham (LINK)

Naked Mole Rats Seem More Alien Than Mammal. What Explains Their Weirdness? (LINK)

Thursday, May 9, 2019

Links

"If you’re analyzing something like WD-40, or See’s Candy, or our brick business, or whatever...they may have good or bad prospects but you’re not likely to be fooling yourself much about what’s going on currently. But with financial institutions, it’s much tougher. Then you throw in derivatives on top of it, and...no one probably knows perfectly — or even within a reasonable range — the exact condition of some of the biggest banks in the world.... I just think you have to accept the fact that insurance, banking, finance companies — we’ve seen all kinds of finance company...frauds and just big mistakes over time — just one after another over the years. It’s just a more dangerous field to analyze. It doesn’t mean you can’t make money in it. We’ve made a lot of money on it. But it’s difficult." --Warren Buffett (2005)

Influencers Transcript and Video (Yahoo Finance): Charlie Munger (LINK)

Berkshire Takes Tax Hit as Victim of ‘Ponzi-Type’ Solar Scheme [H/T Linc] (LINK)

U.S. Recession Would Spur ‘Massive’ Corporate Bond Losses, Eisman Says (LINK)

Chick-fil-A’s Lean Menu Helps Chain Bulk Up ($) (LINK)

Jeremy Grantham on the battle to save society from climate change: ‘We’re not winning’ ($) (LINK)

The Intelligent Investing Podcast: Christian Olesen - Cambria Automobiles (LINK)  [Disclosure: As of the date of this post, I own shares for myself and clients at Sorfis Investments in Cambria Automobiles.]

The Empty Promise of Data Moats (LINK)

Venture Stories Podcast: Tim O’Reilly and Parker Thompson on Company Building, Venture Capital, and Inequality (LINK)

Crazy/Genius Podcast: Why Should We Care About Privacy? (LINK)

Another Bat-Winged Dinosaur Has Been Found - Ed Yong (LINK)

A Dying Teenager’s Recovery Started in the Dirt - by Ed Yong (LINK)

Monday, April 15, 2019

Links

Terry Smith, Fundsmith LLP, March 2019 Presentation (video) [H/T @iancassel] (LINK)
Related book: Accounting for Growth
Disney and the Future of TV - by Ben Thompson (LINK)

Disney CEO Bob Iger lays out details on company’s Netflix competitor (video) (LINK)

GMO White Paper - Thinking Outside the Box: How and Why to Invest in a Climate Change Strategy (LINK)

Interview Transcripts Tell Story of Fed Over Past 50 Years ($) (LINK)
Transcripts of more than 50 interviews with top Federal Reserve officials and staffers offer an inside view of central bank-operations over the past 50 years, including internal debates and pressures from the White House. 
Among the documents released Friday are interviews with former Fed leaders Paul Volcker, Alan Greenspan and Janet Yellen as part of an oral history project in advance of the central bank’s centennial in 2013.
Notes from Toronto - by Chris Mayer (LINK)

Uber's Coming out Party: Personal Mobility Pioneer or Car Service on Steroids? - by Aswath Damodaran (LINK)

Venture Stories Podcast: Robert Greene on his book “The Laws of Human Nature” (LINK)

Exponent Podcast: A Community of Loonies (LINK)

HBR IdeaCast Podcast -- HBR Presents: After Hours (LINK)
Harvard Business School professors and hosts Youngme Moon, Mihir Desai, and Felix Oberholzer-Gee discuss news at the crossroads of business and culture. In this episode, they analyze the current food delivery wars and garner some lessons in crisis management from Boeing.
FT Alphachat Podcast: Odette Lienau on the most complicated debt restructuring in history (LINK)

The Peter Attia Drive (podcast): Matthew Walker, Ph.D., on sleep – Part III of III (LINK)
Related book: Why We Sleep
Cracking the Code: A Toddler, an iPad, and a Tweet - by Evan Osnos (LINK)

Hubble lights up Saturn’s aurorae - by Phil Plait (LINK)

A Natural History Museum Is Under Fire for Hosting Brazil's New President - by Ed Yong (LINK)

'Extraordinary' 500-year-old library catalogue reveals books lost to time (LINK)

Wednesday, April 3, 2019

Links

"Really, the only way a smart person that’s reasonably disciplined in how they look at investments can get in trouble is through leverage. I mean, if somebody else can pull the plug on you during the worst moment of some kind of general financial disaster, you go broke.... But absent leverage, and absent just kind of going crazy in terms of valuation on things, the world won’t hurt you over time in securities. And...the financial cataclysms — they don’t need to do you in. If you have any more money during periods like that, you buy." --Warren Buffett (2004)

Fees vs. Fines - by Morgan Housel (LINK)

Andreessen Horowitz Is Blowing Up The Venture Capital Model (Again) (LINK)

Jeremy Grantham at the 2019 Higher Education Climate Leadership Summit (video) [H/T Linc] (LINK)

a16z Podcast: A Podcast About Podcasting (LINK)

Trailblazers with Walter Isaacson (podcast): Public Transportation: Moving Us Forward (LINK)

Marcus Aurelius’ Psychological Toolkit: An Interview With Donald Robertson (LINK)
Related book: How to Think Like a Roman Emperor: The Stoic Philosophy of Marcus Aurelius

Thursday, March 7, 2019

Links

"My partner used to say, a deal of a lifetime comes across your desk every week. You just have to be looking for it. So while there are dramatic changes going on in real estate, there are always misallocations and mispricing. So even in a down market, some assets will be marked down way below even their new lower price and create an opportunity. But it takes a more agile player. It's sort of the difference as a stock picker, where there are markets where you could be what are called "beta huggers." You're just sticking to the index or sticking to the averages. And then there are other markets where you have a stock picker's market, where only the really great stock pickers can find great opportunity." --Michael Sonnenfeldt  [via Real Vision]

Jeremy Grantham on CNBC (LINK)

Facebook’s Privacy Cake - by Ben Thompson (LINK)

Leithner Letter No. 233-236: Which Australian Households’ Finances Are Most Vulnerable? (LINK)

Freakonomics Radio: How to Fail Like a Pro (LINK)

Time and money - by Seth Godin (LINK)

What killed the dinosaurs? Astronomy and geology. - by Phil Plait (LINK)

We Are Destroying Chimpanzee Cultures - by Ed Yong (LINK)

Monday, December 10, 2018

Links

I'm back after attending the Project Punch Card Conference last week. Congratulations to the organizers for putting together a great inaugural event in pursuit of a great cause. And for those that want to receive future updates about the project, you can join its email list HERE.

Boyar Research was one of the sponsors of the conference, and it's that time of year when they are getting ready to publish The Forgotten Forty, which features one-page reports on the forty companies that they believe have the greatest potential to outperform the leading indices in the year ahead due to a catalyst that they see on the horizon. The report has a successful track record and, once again, they're providing a link to receive three complimentary Forgotten Forty reports from last year’s report for readers of this blog.... Link to: Complimentary 3-report sample of The Forgotten Forty

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David Abrams, who rarely makes public appearances, lays out his investing strategy — and cautions against being too patient (LINK)
"We make a lot of money from mucking around in the garbage, and we also buy nice shiny things, and we care what we pay for both," he said. 
The firm puts a three- to five-year time horizon on stocks, looking for a minimum return of 15% on its first purchase, he said. 
"There has to be a point sooner than 10 year where you're determining whether you are being successful or not successful," he said.
What You Can Learn From How Warren Buffett's Investment Process Evolved (LINK)

The Housing Boom Is Already Gigantic. How Long Can It Last? - by Robert J. Shiller (LINK)

How Subscriptions Are Remaking Corporate America (LINK)

James Dyson: ‘The Public Wants to Buy Strange Things’ [H/T Collaborative Fund] (LINK)

Elon Musk on 60 Minutes (video) (LINK)

Is there a signal in the noise? Yield Curves, Economic Growth and Stock Prices! - by Aswath Damodaran (LINK)

Lampert's Hedge Fund Makes Bid for Sears Stores and Assets (LINK)

Millennials Didn’t Kill the Economy. The Economy Killed Millennials. - by Derek Thompson (LINK)

Outgrowing Advertising: Multimodal Business Models as a Product Strategy (LINK)

What’s Next in Consumer Startups? (video) (LINK)

Why Small Habits Make a Big Difference (LINK)

Jeremy Grantham on the Masters in Business podcast (LINK)

Brent Beshore on the Capital Allocators Podcast (LINK)
Related book: The Messy Marketplace
How I Built This podcast: Airbnb's Joe Gebbia (LINK)

NPR Planet Money podcast: Why Car Safety Is A Trade Barrier (LINK)

Siddhartha Mukherjee talks with Peter Attia (podcast) (LINK)

Origin Stories: Carl Sagan (podcast) (LINK)
The Leakey Foundation's award-winning Origin Stories podcast has returned for its third season. The latest episode is a never-before-released lecture given by Carl Sagan in 1977. In this talk from The Leakey Foundation's archive, Sagan explores the origins and evolution of human intelligence.
Ebola detectives race to identify hidden sources of infection as outbreak spreads (LINK)

When a Killer Climate Catastrophe Struck the World's Oceans (LINK)

Book of the day: How the Internet Happened: From Netscape to the iPhone

Wednesday, August 29, 2018

Links

"We generally believe you can just see anything in markets. I mean, it's just extraordinary what happens in markets over time. It gets sorted out eventually, but we have seen companies sell for tens of billion dollars that are worthless. And at times, we have seen things sell for...literally 20 percent or 25 percent of what they were worth. So we have seen and will continue to see everything. It’s just the nature of markets. They produce wild, wild things over time. And the trick is, occasionally, to take advantage of one of those wild things and not to get carried away when other wild things happen because the wild things create their own truth for a while." --Warren Buffett (2000)

Links to some old Ben Graham articles (via Twitter) [H/T @jasonzweigwsj] (LINK)

Mohnish Pabrai interview in The Economic Times (LINK)
The checklist that I created came out of looking at mistakes made by great investors. The single biggest reason why investments don’t work out for investors is leverage. The second biggest reason has to do with a misunderstanding of the comparative advantage of the moat. Then you get to management and ownership and other issues. You might get to environmental or unions and labour and that sort of things. The three really big things are — leverage, moats and management, probably in that order. 
More than money, Berkshire’s Todd Combs coming on Paytm board is the best outcome (LINK)

The Race of Our Lives Revisited (in a nutshell) - Jeremy Grantham (LINK)
In this abridged version of “The Race of Our Lives Revisited” Jeremy Grantham provides a detailed discussion of the long-term, slow-burning problems that threaten us today: climate change, population growth, increasing environmental toxicity.
Citron Research's short thesis on Wayfair (LINK)

Akimbo Podcast: Ignore sunk costs (LINK)

Radiolab Podcast: Baby Blue Blood Drive (LINK)

Does Our Cultural Obsession With Safety Spell the Downfall of Democracy? (LINK)

Fred Rogers: a quiet psychological revolution in children’s television (LINK)
Related book: The Good Neighbor: The Life and Work of Fred Rogers  
Related documentary: Won't You Be My Neighbor?

Thursday, June 21, 2018

Links

[If anyone happens to have a copy Peter Bernstein's article "Where, Oh Where Are the .400 Hitters of Yesteryear?" I'd love to have a copy, and can't seem to find one in the public domain. Thanks.]

How Amazon Became One of Washington's Most Powerful Players ($) (LINK)

Tails, You Win - by Morgan Housel (LINK)

Jeremy Grantham interview from the Morningstar Investment Conference (video) [H/T ValueWalk] (Video 1, Video 2, Video 3, Video 4)

Paul Tudor Jones: Investing in a More “JUST” World (video) (LINK)

How Netflix changed entertainment -- and where it's headed | Reed Hastings (TED video) (LINK)

Boyar Value Group's Orphaned Equity Strategy Presentation: 5 High Conviction Stock Ideas [free registration required] (LINK)

Pedophrasty, Bigoteering, and Other Modern Scams - by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (LINK)

Annie Duke: "Thinking in Bets" | Talks at Google (LINK)

Revisionist History Podcast: The Hug Heard Round the World (LINK)

American Innovations Podcast: Nuclear Energy | Bombs Come First | 2 (LINK)

An Extraordinarily Expensive Way to Fight ISIS - by William Langewiesche (LINK)

A Landmark Study on the Origins of Alcoholism - by Ed Yong (LINK)

New Gibbon Species Discovered In a 2,200-Year-Old Royal Chinese Tomb - by Ed Yong (LINK)

Koko the Gorilla Dead at 46, Her Legacy Lives On (LINK)

Book of the day: Full House: The Spread of Excellence from Plato to Darwin - by Stephen Jay Gould 

Thursday, June 14, 2018

Links

Why You Will See Bigger, Not Cheaper, Cable Bundles (LINK)

Grantham says capitalism is making climate change worse (LINK)

The World According to Boyar Podcast: Episode 4 with Larry Cunningham (LINK)

a16z Podcast: Tech Under Construction — Info Flows (LINK)

Crazy/Genius Podcast: Who Killed Local News? (LINK)

Revisionist History Podcast: General Chapman’s Last Stand (LINK)

American Innovations Podcast: Nuclear Energy | E = MC Squared | 1 (LINK)

Dan Harris: "Meditation for Fidgety Skeptics" | Talks at Google (LINK)

TED Talk: How to get empowered, not overpowered, by AI | Max Tegmark (LINK)
Related book: Life 3.0: Being Human in the Age of Artificial Intelligence 
The Search for Cancer Treatment That Is Personal and Useful - by Siddhartha Mukherjee (LINK)

When the Next Plague Hits - by Ed Yong (LINK) [This long-form piece is also available via audio format, HERE.]
The epidemics of the early 21st century revealed a world unprepared, even as the risk of pandemics continues to multiply. Much worse is coming. Is Donald Trump ready?

Friday, March 16, 2018

Links

"When everything seems to be going against you, remember that the airplane takes off against the wind, not with it." -Henry Ford [H/T @vitaliyk]

Amazon Strategy Teardown [H/T Market Folly] (LINK)

Why America needs to invest in its future: Lessons from the U.S. steel industry’s demise (LINK)

Jeremy Grantham on the [i3] Podcast [H/T Abnormal Returns] (LINK)

Adventures in Finance Podcast -- Commercial Break: What the Ad industry’s struggles say about the economy (LINK)

Exponent Podcast: Episode 145 — Qualcomm, Patents, and Innovation (LINK)

The Predictable March of Corpse-Eating Microbes - by Ed Yong (LINK)

Book of the day [H/T @vitaliyk]: The Virgin Banker: My Life in Finance - by Jayne-Anne Gadhia

Saturday, January 27, 2018

Links

“Buy not on optimism but on arithmetic.” – Ben Graham

Jeremy Grantham on WealthTrack (video) (LINK)

Feed the Ducks While They Are Quacking: Time to Reduce Lower Quality Bond Positions - By Lewis Johnson (LINK)

Rob Vinall's year-end letter for RV Capital [registration required] (LINK)

RV Capital's Annual Investors Conference 2018 (video) (LINK)

The Fantastic Four That Make FANG Look Tame (LINK)

Words From the Wise: An AQR Interview with Ed Thorp (LINK)
We sat down with Ed Thorp, a pioneer in the mathematical analysis of casino games and investing, to get his insights on an array of topics from casino gambling to quantitative investing. [Interview conducted December 2, 2015]
Sir Isaac Newton: Scientific Genius, Investing Fool - by Jason Zweig (LINK)
The physicist fell even harder than previously thought for one of the worst speculative bubbles of all time
Exponent Podcast: Episode 138 — A Moat Too Far (LINK)

Why I Urge You to Watch Planet Earth: Blue Planet II - by Ray Dalio (LINK)
Related previous link: Blue Planet II Is the Greatest Nature Series Of All Time - by Ed Yong

Thursday, January 4, 2018

Links

Warren Buffett Shares the Secrets to Wealth in America [H/T Matt] (LINK)

Bracing Yourself for a Possible Near-Term Melt-Up (A Very Personal View) - by Jeremy Grantham (LINK)

December 2017 Issue of Value Investor Insight (LINK)

The Cashless Society Has Arrived—Only It’s in China [H/T Matt] (LINK)

The Knowledge Project Podcast -- The Art of Letting Other People Have Your Way: Negotiating Secrets from Chris Voss (LINK)
Related book: Never Split the Difference
Aubrey de Grey, PhD: "The Science of Curing Aging" | Talks at Google (LINK)

What’s the difference between stoicism and Stoicism? (LINK)

Book of the day (released this week): The Elephant in the Brain: Hidden Motives in Everyday Life

Thursday, December 14, 2017

Links

GMO's Q3 2017 Letter (LINK)
The 3Q2017 GMO Quarterly Letter features Ben Inker’s “What Happened to Inflation? And What Happens If It Comes Back?” and Jeremy Grantham’s “Career Risk and Stalin’s Pension Fund: Investing in a World of Overpriced Assets”
Bitcoin: Currency of the Future or Investment Mania? Bill Miller’s Transformative Innovation Case (video) (LINK)

CNBC's full interview with Stanley Druckenmiller (LINK)

What’s Eating Bill Ackman? [H/T Daniel] (LINK)

How I Built This Podcast: Live Episode! Black Entertainment Television: Robert Johnson (LINK)

a16z Podcast: Scaling Healthcare (LINK)

The Knowledge Project Podcast -- Warren Berger: Improve Your Life by Improving Your Questions (LINK)

Are You a Listener or a Reader? (LINK)
Related book: Management Challenges for the 21st Century - by Peter F. Drucker
40 Years Later, Some Survivors of the First Ebola Outbreak Are Still Immune - by Ed Yong (LINK)

Friday, August 25, 2017

Links

The 19 Questions to Ask Your Financial Adviser - by Jason Zweig (LINK)

GMO White Paper -- The Good Thing About Climate Change: Opportunities (LINK)
In this white paper, Lucas White, GMO Climate Change portfolio manager, and Jeremy Grantham describe the exciting opportunities in companies in the public equity market who are involved in combating climate change (i.e., the climate change sector), either through climate change mitigation or helping the world adapt to climate change.
Horizon Kinetics' New Commentary: When is A P/E Not a P/E, or How To Turn 90 into 22 in Three Easy Steps (LINK)

Gresham’s Law & Growing Weeds - by Frank K. Martin (LINK)

The Logic of Risk Taking – by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (LINK)

What I Learned in the Last year - by Morgan Housel (LINK)

Inside Waymo's Secret World for Training Self-Driving Cars (LINK)

How Roger Federer Upgraded His Game [H/T @MarceloPLima] (LINK)

A Grand Unified Theory of Unhealthy Microbiomes - by Ed Yong (LINK)
The Anna Karenina hypothesis says that every unbalanced microbiome is unbalanced in its own way.

Friday, August 4, 2017

Links

The 2Q2017 GMO Quarterly Letter (LINK)
Ben Inker discusses his current view of emerging market equities, making the case that emerging value is currently the cheapest asset class. In fact, based on one portfolio construction technique GMO’s Asset Allocation team uses, emerging value is the best asset we have ever seen. Jeremy Grantham updates a behavioral P/E model to show that the stock market’s responses to major market factors over the years have been typically quite different from what one might expect from an “efficient” market. The market P/E level does not primarily reflect future prospects, but, contrary to theory, reflects current conditions. It weights variables that make investors feel comfortable, but that are not academically or economically correct.
Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day Transcript (May 2017) (LINK)

Howard Marks on Bloomberg TV (video from earlier this week) (LINK)

Macro Voices podcast -- Raoul Pal & Julian Brigden: When will the dollar route end? (LINK)
Erik Townsend welcomes Julian Brigden and Raoul Pal back to MacroVoices. Erik, Julian & Raoul discuss their views on the US Dollar, the equity markets and the business cycle. They further explore the outlook on the bond bull market, demographics and the coming pension crisis.
Graham Allison talks with Charlie Rose (video) (LINK)
Related book: Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap?
A Dinosaur So Well Preserved It Looks Like a Statue - by Ed Yong (LINK)

Thursday, August 3, 2017

Links

"To attain knowledge, add things every day. To attain wisdom, remove things every day." -Lao Tzu

Jeremy Grantham talks to Charlie Rose (video) (LINK)

Leithner Letter No. 213-214 (26 July - 26 August 2017) (LINK)

The Unreformed Stock Picker: Without A Boss Bill Miller Is Betting On Amazon, Bitcoin And Bob Dylan (LINK)

Why the Hatchet Men of 3G Spent $10 Million on a Better Oscar Mayer Weiner (LINK)

The Conglomerate That Troubles China [H/T Matt] (LINK)

Apple and the Oak Tree - by Ben Thompson (LINK)

The Crypto Currency Debate: Future of Money or Speculative Hype? - by Aswath Damodaran (LINK)

Mutual Fund Observer, August 2017 (LINK)

Freakonomics Radio: Everything You Always Wanted to Know About Money (But Were Afraid to Ask) (LINK)

a16z Podcast: From Mind at Play to Making the Information Age (LINK)
Related book: A Mind at Play: How Claude Shannon Invented the Information Age
Revisionist History podcast:  “Mr. Hollowell Didn’t Like That” (part two of a two-part story) (LINK)

A Kerfuffle About Diversity in the Roman Empire (LINK)

The Designer Baby Era Is Not Upon Us - by Ed Yong (LINK)

Monday, May 1, 2017

GMO's Q1 2017 Quarterly Letter

Link to:  GMO's Q1 2017 Quarterly Letter
In "Up At Night," Ben Inker takes a deep dive into the most common question he gets from clients: "What keeps you up at night?" He identifies two types of risks one should analyze, eternal risks and today’s relevant risks, and discusses how understanding one’s vulnerability to those risks is crucial in deciding whether and how to address the risks by hedging or shifting assets. Jeremy Grantham, in "This Time Seems Very, Very Different," examines how likely it is that high stock market prices and corporate profit margins will continue to be sustained. He describes why, although value investors for decades have been using the old axiom that the four most dangerous words are "this time is different," he would like to add for 2017 that "conversely, it can be very dangerous indeed to assume that things are never different."

Wednesday, April 5, 2017

Links

Howard Marks at a CFA Society India event in Mumbai (video) [H/T @Sanjay__Bakshi] (LINK)

Jamie Dimon's 2016 Shareholder Letter (LINK)

GMO's Grantham: Stocks 'Decently Different This Time' (video) [H/T Barry Ritholtz] (LINK)
Jeremy Grantham, co-founder of Boston investment firm GMO, doesn't expect valuations to drop back to normal levels for two decades. But he is keeping cash on hand to take advantage of any dip, which he says would need to be 15-20% to act.
Horizon Kinetics: The Indexation That Is, Versus The Indexation That Should Be (LINK)

Jim O'Shaughnessy: "What Works on Wall Street" | Talks at Google (video) (LINK)

Schiff's Insurance Observer's February blog post (first post since 2009) --  The Big Fall: Greenberg Admits He Oversaw Sleazy Transactions [H/T @GnDsville] (LINK)

Meb Faber chats with Raoul Pal (podcast) (LINK)

How do winning consumer-goods companies capture growth? [H/T @Find_Me_Value] (LINK)

Toronto Home Prices Just Jumped Another 33% (video plays) [H/T Matt] (LINK)

New details on Amazon's move to shutter the company it bought for $545 million (video plays) [H/T Matt] (LINK)

Mutual Fund Observer, April 2017 (LINK)

Speech by Andrew Haldane: A little more conversation - A little less action (LINK)

The Absolute Return Letter - April 2017: The truth about Brexit (LINK)

a16z Podcast: Cryptocurrencies, App Coins, and Investing in Protocols (LINK)

Siddhartha Mukherjee talks with Charlie Rose about his latest article, "A.I. Versus M.D." (video) (LINK) ["Genetic technology is A.I. I mean these two things are changing what human beings will be like in the future. There's no doubt about that, so it's something to know about; and particularly in medicine."]
Related book: The Gene
Get More Done By Working Less (LINK)
Related book: Rest: Why You Get More Done When You Work Less 
Related video: Five Good Questions for Alex Soojung-Kim Pang
Why Are Maker Schedules So Rare? (LINK)

Edge #490: Urban Evolution - A Conversation With Jonathan Losos (LINK)

Trees Have Their Own Songs - by Ed Yong (LINK)
Related book (just released): The Songs of Trees
Coastal Carolina football team goes to prison to learn a lesson (LINK)

Today's Audible Daily Deal ($3.95) is a book I've mentioned before: Spaceman: An Astronaut's Unlikely Journey to Unlock the Secrets of the Universe - by Mike Massimino

Wednesday, January 25, 2017

GMO's Q4 2016 Quarterly Letter

Link to:  GMO's Q4 2016 Quarterly Letter
The 4Q2016 GMO Quarterly Letter features Ben Inker's "Is Trump a Get Out of Hell Free Card?" and Jeremy Grantham's "The Road to Trumpsville: The Long, Long Mistreatment of the American Working Class"