Value Investing World

Tuesday, January 4, 2011

Amherst Mortgage Insight: “Facebook” Analysis of the Non-Agency Market—Participants Underestimating The Housing Problem

Found via naked capitalism.

Summary

In this article, we argue that the housing overhang is not caused solely by the number of non-performing loans that exist in the market. The problem also includes the high rates at which re-performing loans are re-defaulting, along with the relatively high rates at which deeply underwater loans that have never been delinquent are going 2 payments behind for the first time. As a laboratory for this analysis, we look at each loan in the non-Agency universe a year ago, and examine its current status.

Joe at 1/04/2011
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